Change being the important component of the ecosphere, clearly the challenges in front of us multiply. I have spent 36 years of my life as an oil man. A variety of factors contribute to the pricing of gasoline in the Unites States. These factors include world-wide supply, demand & competition in crude oil industry, taxes, regional differences in access to gasoline supplies and environmental regulations. The other factors are: speculations in oil futures, geopolitical risks, technology premium, pressure from competing fuel and other soft issues like human rights, ethical labor practices, responsible investments and anti-corruption practices.
How to deal with the uncertainty & the change in the economy? One way is to look at the past trends and get ready for the future. Another way is to use a lot of algorithms and work on a model for the problem with variety of inputs that produce probability based outcomes. This needs a lot of number crunching and supercomputers can be used for that. Another concept uses fuzzy logic. Continue reading